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Macro Digest: Another week, Another Brexit vote - The momentum now clearly with orderly divorce from the EU

Summary:  Another week, another Brexit vote. PM Johnson keeps trying and pushing for a Brexit by October 31st. Meanwhile Labour is trying to force a 2nd vote and to stall process to force extension to minimum January 31st. Saxo Bank…
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Les taux et l’étau qui se resserre

La séance d’hier c’était le genre de journée qui fait qu’on se demande si on n’a pas meilleur temps d’ouvrir la bourse une fois par semaine juste pour faire un fixing et retourner jouer au golf. Assis sur un banc Que…
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Marchés financiers : les signes de la dégradation

Nicolas Chéron analyse sur SicavOnline la dynamique baissière qui conduit l'économie mondiale à la récession. https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=1&v=2ONftjZraRY
Olivier Delamarche C'est Cash RT
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C'est Cash, la nouvelle émission économique d'Olivier Delamarche

Un programme animé par Olivier Delamarche en compagnie d'Estelle Farge sur RT France où l'économiste présente sa vision de l'économie mondiale et les scénarios possibles pour l'année 2019, toujours très Cash.  
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Macro Digest - China's Inflation - Most Important Data Point in all of Economics...!

- Welcome to the dealyed inflation...China PPI PPI YoY (China) {CH} OBSERVATION PERIOD: Nov (Monthly) ACTUAL  : 3.3% PRIOR   : 1.2% REVISED : -- SURVEY  : 2.3%  (Mean: 2.2%, High: 3.1%, Low: 1.0%)   This is exactly what I have…
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Macro Digest: Saxo Strategy changes post Trump... Too much growth & inflation prices in... What's next?

Considering the massive uplift in growth and inflation if GS conclusion(below) is even 50% correct, there is massive ‘correction of assumption’ incoming. My main take remains:  “Trump will be better than Liberal thinks, but worse than…
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Escaping the soulless machine

-Donald Trump did not truly win the US election... Clinton lost it -Trump policies not the answer, but drastic change was needed -Only access to learning and thus technology spurs growth -Change does not come when it is sought, only when…
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Welcome to the "ugly period"...

US Election: The 'ugly period' is drawing nearer   Markets under attack from regulators, political witch hunting and ignorance The flawed policy is to maintain elevated and overvalued stock markets Volcker sought a policy based…
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US Election: Nothing to lose

My present macro speech is titled "Ugly: Don't fight with 'ugly' people as they have nothing to lose". To me, this is the essence of the US presidential campaign. The ugly truth surrounding this ballot lies in the bigger picture, as whomever…
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Global deflation it ebbing out – Is inflation coming back?

Answer: Yes, it is! The main impact though will be less consumer spending as China’s low export prices has kept the US consumers in play through ever lower prices – this is now reverting  - it also means weaker CNY, and higher inflation…
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Macro Digest : Why October 14th 2016 is KEY DATE

This is VERY important to know and understand – there are 2.7 trillion US$ in money market fund in the US. In the past these were mainly going to “Prime funds” which invested in short-term government and commercial papers. Then came Lehman…
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Macro Digest : Bond alert & probably single most important chart this year

"Inflation is when you pay fifteen dollars for the ten-dollar haircut you used to get for five dollars when you had hair" – Sam Ewing   Doing some research for Bloomberg guest hosting in London on Thursday morning and came across this…
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Macro Digest : The coming US Dollar funding crisis?

My friends Neels and Mehul from Nedbank, South Africa does an amazing analyzing the global markets from a ‘different’ perspective – read better…   They have been kind enough to share this with me and now I want you to look at…
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The policy makers Comical Ali strategy

I am writing this Chronicle from South Africa which is almost as far away from Europe and the constant and never ending Brexit talk you can come. It's hard even here to avoid the turbulence and never ending 'need' for investors and media to…
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Brexit : Early comment...

The polls and the bookies got it wrong again – the move overnight has been made bigger by the “party” the risk on market had yesterday….I wrote my “expected” reaction earlier this week:   How a Brexit would play out: Jakobsen   My…
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Transparent Janet is Imprisoned by a Dilemma of Her Own Making

An unusual Steen’s Chronicle today… as I will share the piece with my friend Professor Mark M McNabb, PhD, CFA from Wake Forest University….Mark and I had exchange on how the Fed has become utterly predictable….here is Mark’s take…